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Global Economic Trends to Watch in the Second Half of 2026

Global Economic Trends to Watch in the Second Half of 2026

Published Jul 5, 2026 · Updated Jul 29, 2026 · Editorial Team

Test your knowledge of the key economic developments shaping the world economy from July to December 2026.

10 Questions
⏱️ 5 Minutes
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Question 1 of 100 correct
⏱️ 05:00
QUESTION 1

In economics, what does total factor productivity (TFP) measure?

All Questions in This Quiz

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  1. In economics, what does total factor productivity (TFP) measure?

    • A. The number of factories operating in a country
    • B. The share of output not explained by measured labor and capital inputs
    • C. The size of the working-age population
    • D. The total value of a country's exports
  2. How does the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) affect imports of carbon-intensive goods such as steel?

    • A. It subsidizes non-EU producers to raise their exports
    • B. It attaches a carbon cost to imports, making high-carbon production less competitive in the EU
    • C. It has no price effect and is purely a reporting exercise forever
    • D. It bans all steel imports outright
  3. What is "forward guidance" in monetary policy?

    • A. Direct central bank purchases of long-dated government bonds
    • B. Central bank communication about the likely future path of policy rates
    • C. A statutory cap on commercial bank lending
    • D. Deliberate devaluation of the domestic currency
  4. Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are expected to affect cross-border payments primarily by:

    • A. Raising per-transaction costs for consumers
    • B. Reducing reliance on chains of correspondent banks
    • C. Making physical cash illegal worldwide
    • D. Removing the need for any settlement rules between countries
  5. Which sector has historically accounted for the largest share of global green-bond proceeds?

    • A. Commercial real estate
    • B. Renewable energy
    • C. Semiconductor manufacturing
    • D. Pharmaceuticals
  6. Roughly what share of the world's leading-edge logic chips is manufactured in Taiwan?

    • A. About 10%
    • B. About 35%
    • C. About 60%
    • D. Over 90%
  7. What does the labor force participation rate measure?

    • A. The share of the working-age population that is employed or actively seeking work
    • B. The percentage of workers who belong to a union
    • C. The share of job seekers who are unemployed
    • D. The average number of hours worked per week
  8. In sovereign finance, a "debt-distress" event refers to a situation where:

    • A. A country's stock index falls sharply
    • B. A government cannot service or repay its debt on the original terms
    • C. Consumer prices rise faster than wages
    • D. A country runs a trade deficit for several years
  9. The OECD/G20 global minimum corporate tax of 15% is designed to most directly reduce:

    • A. The profit-shifting advantage of low-tax jurisdictions
    • B. The tax burden on small domestic firms
    • C. Tariffs on digital services
    • D. Agricultural subsidy spending
  10. Mandatory climate-related financial disclosure regimes based on the TCFD framework are intended primarily to:

    • A. Increase short-term trading volumes
    • B. Give investors comparable, standardized data on companies' climate risk
    • C. Stabilize commodity prices
    • D. Raise government tax revenue
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Editorial Team
Editorial Team

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